Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.565753e-01 0.346807 0.452494 0.583433 0.739292 0.916935 1.132715
2026-01-18 1.336317e-01 0.234986 0.374525 0.571345 0.832434 1.157883 1.584794
2026-01-25 7.148935e-02 0.168554 0.326307 0.576892 0.940855 1.427283 2.102413
2026-02-01 3.327943e-02 0.113652 0.271586 0.554738 1.002495 1.638822 2.564954
2026-02-08 1.769334e-02 0.088358 0.253557 0.580601 1.132334 1.952055 3.185256
2026-02-15 7.812958e-03 0.064529 0.226602 0.582292 1.221420 2.211245 3.745760
2026-02-22 4.114315e-03 0.054712 0.224898 0.627920 1.384713 2.590063 4.496054
2026-03-01 1.736583e-03 0.044071 0.215449 0.654898 1.517197 2.928450 5.202528
2026-03-08 4.747816e-04 0.033114 0.198237 0.660453 1.610303 3.208621 5.833315
2026-03-15 4.621280e-05 0.023053 0.175927 0.647924 1.666619 3.430567 6.383246
2026-03-22 4.400953e-07 0.017514 0.165409 0.660107 1.769367 3.732313 7.065395
2026-03-29 NaN 0.012623 0.152480 0.662287 1.851226 4.001610 7.705052
2026-04-05 NaN 0.007702 0.132238 0.639853 1.882649 4.190426 8.232383
2026-04-12 NaN 0.004557 0.115954 0.623328 1.923808 4.397783 8.797204
2026-04-19 NaN 0.002927 0.107203 0.627355 2.009333 4.687439 9.504863
2026-04-26 NaN 0.001387 0.091689 0.602892 2.027546 4.855551 10.018105
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000984 0.090580 0.629821 2.166481 5.250586 10.918334
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000505 0.083440 0.631354 2.245100 5.536341 11.643388
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000435 0.087560 0.679513 2.439976 6.047258 12.759437
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000285 0.086982 0.707964 2.588421 6.474967 13.743987
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000125 0.081536 0.713796 2.681028 6.799292 14.560171
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000027 0.072649 0.700533 2.723769 7.028720 15.219082
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000006 0.069503 0.713400 2.834529 7.393603 16.118528